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Red194
157429.6
157744.5
711222.9
Blue122
571527.5
221217.3
303419.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124580100150200250194122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.51.8
46.448.2
Auto16.3
Teleop5.9
End22.3
red by 17.0
5715
#14
27.51.5
26.027.5
Auto11.9
Teleop6.9
End8.7
Second
1574
#23
29.61.8
31.533.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End12.4
red by 9.7
3034
#22
19.91.5
18.419.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End10.4
Third
7112
#17
22.92.0
25.027.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End12.6
red by 5.6
17.31.5
15.817.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End6.7