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Red221
333955.9
169085.6
604925.1
Blue93
561432.4
703941.9
610441.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18412305010015025030035022193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.60.1
81.781.8
Auto23.0
Teleop34.4
End28.1
red by 43.6
41.90.6
42.842.2
Auto14.8
Teleop12.9
End14.3
Second
55.90.1
51.751.8
Auto20.3
Teleop14.6
End21.1
red by 15.0
6104
#13
41.00.6
41.841.2
Auto16.4
Teleop12.0
End12.6
Third
6049
#18
25.10.1
23.924.0
Auto8.7
Teleop3.7
End12.7
blue by 7.2
5614
#15
32.40.6
33.332.7
Auto11.1
Teleop5.9
End15.4