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Red169
333955.9
169085.6
604925.1
Blue104
673626.6
306536.0
474424.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19183050100150250300350400169104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.60.1
81.881.7
Auto23.0
Teleop34.4
End28.1
red by 49.6
36.00.0
35.936.0
Auto12.6
Teleop13.8
End9.5
Second
55.90.1
51.851.7
Auto20.3
Teleop14.6
End21.1
red by 29.3
6736
#12
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End17.5
Third
6049
#18
25.10.1
24.023.9
Auto8.7
Teleop3.7
End12.7
red by 0.4
4744
#19
24.80.0
24.724.8
Auto11.9
Teleop7.5
End5.5