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Red314
333955.9
169085.6
604925.1
Blue179
561432.4
703941.9
610441.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184121050100150250300350314179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.61.0
81.882.8
Auto23.0
Teleop34.4
End28.1
red by 43.6
41.90.3
42.241.9
Auto14.8
Teleop12.9
End14.3
Second
55.91.1
51.852.9
Auto20.3
Teleop14.6
End21.1
red by 15.0
6104
#13
41.00.3
41.241.0
Auto16.4
Teleop12.0
End12.6
Third
6049
#18
25.11.1
24.025.1
Auto8.7
Teleop3.7
End12.7
blue by 7.2
5614
#15
32.40.3
32.732.4
Auto11.1
Teleop5.9
End15.4