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Red109
595127.1
717737.3
466130.5
Blue157
338830.8
817535.3
433848.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102123050150200250109157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.0
37.037.0
Auto13.9
Teleop7.9
End15.6
blue by 11.6
4338
#14
48.90.8
46.447.3
Auto16.9
Teleop9.0
End23.0
Second
4661
#20
30.50.0
30.230.2
Auto8.0
Teleop4.6
End17.9
blue by 4.8
35.30.8
32.933.7
Auto13.9
Teleop8.7
End12.7
Third
5951
#24
27.10.0
26.826.8
Auto10.4
Teleop6.4
End10.3
blue by 3.7
3388
#16
30.80.8
28.329.2
Auto13.1
Teleop4.1
End13.6