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Red61
632434.2
12127.9
9714.7
Blue84
12636.5
620125.7
207921.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8695501502006184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#11
34.20.4
34.634.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End19.9
blue by 2.3
126
#25
36.50.2
36.736.5
Auto14.2
Teleop15.0
End7.3
Second
121
#6
27.90.4
28.227.9
Auto12.9
Teleop8.9
End6.0
red by 2.1
25.70.2
25.925.7
Auto13.5
Teleop3.8
End8.4
Third
97
#15
14.70.4
15.114.7
Auto7.9
Teleop0.1
End6.7
blue by 6.6
2079
#20
21.20.2
21.421.2
Auto7.6
Teleop3.4
End10.3