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Red155
7854.1
632959.7
673123.4
Blue128
456443.0
500036.3
178626.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155110050200250155128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.5
58.659.0
Auto15.2
Teleop15.5
End29.1
red by 16.8
4564
#12
43.00.5
42.443.0
Auto16.1
Teleop11.4
End15.4
Second
78
#3
54.10.5
52.953.4
Auto17.2
Teleop10.7
End26.2
red by 17.8
36.30.5
35.836.3
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End16.1
Third
6731
#29
23.40.5
22.222.7
Auto9.3
Teleop7.8
End6.3
blue by 3.0
1786
#24
26.40.5
25.926.4
Auto8.2
Teleop4.0
End14.2