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Red147
7854.1
632959.7
673123.4
Blue103
226233.0
801332.0
17220.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15784050100200147103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.3
58.058.3
Auto15.2
Teleop15.5
End29.1
red by 26.8
2262
#14
33.00.4
32.633.0
Auto12.0
Teleop5.0
End16.0
Second
78
#3
54.10.3
52.352.7
Auto17.2
Teleop10.7
End26.2
red by 22.2
32.00.4
31.532.0
Auto9.0
Teleop0.8
End22.2
Third
6731
#29
23.40.3
21.621.9
Auto9.3
Teleop7.8
End6.3
red by 2.9
172
#31
20.40.4
20.020.4
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End8.0