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Red90
456443.0
500036.3
178626.4
Blue91
6942.6
19038.1
192226.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110122501001502009091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#12
43.00.2
41.240.9
Auto16.1
Teleop11.4
End15.4
red by 0.4
69
#10
42.60.7
43.042.3
Auto8.8
Teleop8.7
End25.1
Second
36.30.2
34.534.3
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End16.1
blue by 1.8
190
#8
38.10.7
38.537.8
Auto14.3
Teleop3.5
End20.3
Third
1786
#24
26.40.2
24.624.4
Auto8.2
Teleop4.0
End14.2
red by 0.3
1922
#27
26.10.7
26.525.8
Auto10.3
Teleop8.1
End7.6