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Red90
44941.0
188541.4
821713.2
Blue141
291235.2
61126.7
379332.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119205015020025090141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.5
42.041.4
Auto17.8
Teleop7.7
End16.0
red by 6.2
2912
#16
35.21.2
31.933.2
Auto10.8
Teleop9.1
End15.3
Second
449
#9
41.00.5
41.541.0
Auto17.8
Teleop5.8
End17.4
red by 8.3
3793
#14
32.71.2
29.530.7
Auto12.0
Teleop4.4
End16.3
Third
8217
#20
13.20.5
13.713.2
Auto10.2
Teleop1.3
End1.7
blue by 13.5
611
#11
26.71.2
23.424.7
Auto6.6
Teleop0.2
End19.9