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Red117
253431.8
138934.9
658422.4
Blue124
823021.7
451425.9
584117.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10367050150117124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.3
34.534.8
Auto11.9
Teleop10.3
End12.8
red by 9.1
4514
#10
25.91.0
25.526.5
Auto13.7
Teleop0.3
End11.9
Second
31.80.3
31.331.7
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End10.6
red by 10.1
8230
#27
21.71.0
21.322.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End10.5
Third
6584
#25
22.40.3
21.922.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.8
End9.6
red by 4.5
5841
#28
17.81.1
17.418.5
Auto8.4
Teleop3.3
End6.1