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Red0
253431.8
138934.9
658422.4
Blue58
823021.7
451425.9
584117.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10371050150200058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#3DQ
34.90.1
34.834.9
Auto11.9
Teleop10.3
End12.8
red by 9.1
4514
#10
25.90.9
26.525.5
Auto13.7
Teleop0.3
End11.9
Second
2534
#6DQ
31.80.1
31.731.8
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End10.6
red by 10.1
8230
#27
21.70.9
22.321.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End10.5
Third
6584
#25DQ
22.40.1
22.222.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.8
End9.6
red by 4.5
5841
#28
17.81.0
18.517.4
Auto8.4
Teleop3.3
End6.1