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Red182
2753.3
233764.3
836819.8
Blue105
24526.6
214533.5
608132.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15195050200182105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.31.2
61.362.5
Auto19.8
Teleop16.3
End28.1
red by 30.7
2145
#13
33.50.2
33.333.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End18.0
Second
27
#4
53.31.2
50.351.5
Auto20.8
Teleop15.5
End16.9
red by 20.5
6081
#30
32.80.2
32.532.8
Auto13.8
Teleop6.6
End12.3
Third
8368
#35
19.81.2
16.818.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.3
End8.0
blue by 6.9
245
#18
26.60.2
26.426.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.0
End13.5