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Red172
2753.3
233764.3
836819.8
Blue109
705641.9
499443.2
552719.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15311050100200250172109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.30.2
62.562.7
Auto19.8
Teleop16.3
End28.1
red by 21.1
43.20.1
43.043.0
Auto8.7
Teleop3.7
End30.7
Second
27
#4
53.30.2
51.551.7
Auto20.8
Teleop15.5
End16.9
red by 11.4
41.90.1
41.741.8
Auto11.9
Teleop7.6
End22.3
Third
8368
#35
19.80.2
18.018.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.3
End8.0
red by 0.6
5527
#19
19.20.1
19.019.0
Auto8.4
Teleop3.6
End7.3