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Red136
705641.9
499443.2
552719.2
Blue76
556138.3
526041.7
778416.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11410605015020025013676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.4
42.242.6
Auto8.7
Teleop3.7
End30.7
red by 1.5
41.70.5
41.340.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End22.9
Second
41.90.4
40.941.3
Auto11.9
Teleop7.6
End22.3
red by 3.6
38.30.5
38.037.5
Auto15.1
Teleop3.7
End19.5
Third
5527
#19
19.20.4
18.218.6
Auto8.4
Teleop3.6
End7.3
red by 2.3
7784
#38
16.90.5
16.616.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.5
End8.0