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Red141
150648.2
332258.4
553819.4
Blue159
353543.7
508454.0
523829.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135136100120160180141159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.4
57.057.4
Auto18.1
Teleop20.7
End19.6
red by 4.5
54.00.8
52.253.0
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End27.5
Second
1506
#14
48.20.4
46.847.2
Auto14.6
Teleop19.6
End14.0
red by 4.5
43.70.8
41.942.7
Auto11.3
Teleop9.5
End22.8
Third
5538
#29
19.40.4
18.018.3
Auto5.6
Teleop3.2
End10.6
blue by 10.0
5238
#26
29.30.8
27.528.4
Auto7.5
Teleop2.5
End19.3