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Red156
258647.9
663758.6
725020.2
Blue150
778247.9
85749.2
656925.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112250100200250156150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.60.6
57.758.3
Auto22.8
Teleop11.2
End24.6
red by 9.4
857
#3
49.20.5
45.546.1
Auto15.9
Teleop8.6
End24.6
Second
47.90.6
47.047.7
Auto15.9
Teleop17.0
End15.1
Level
47.90.5
44.344.8
Auto16.2
Teleop8.7
End23.0
Third
7250
#34
20.20.6
19.319.9
Auto10.7
Teleop1.7
End7.8
blue by 5.6
6569
#32
25.80.5
22.122.7
Auto10.3
Teleop4.0
End11.5