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Red76
437541.7
611335.0
781623.9
Blue90
607934.6
587830.5
548619.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11793501502007690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.6
42.241.6
Auto16.3
Teleop8.3
End17.1
red by 7.1
6079
#23
34.60.0
35.235.2
Auto14.7
Teleop4.3
End15.6
Second
35.00.6
35.434.9
Auto16.0
Teleop9.3
End9.7
red by 4.5
30.50.0
31.031.1
Auto9.5
Teleop6.2
End14.9
Third
7816
#19
23.90.6
24.423.8
Auto6.0
Teleop4.2
End13.7
red by 4.6
5486
#15
19.40.0
19.919.9
Auto6.6
Teleop4.6
End8.2