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Red141
258647.9
663758.6
725020.2
Blue181
778247.9
85749.2
656925.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143124050100200250141181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.60.3
58.358.7
Auto22.8
Teleop11.2
End24.6
red by 9.4
857
#3
49.21.2
46.147.2
Auto15.9
Teleop8.6
End24.6
Second
47.90.3
47.748.0
Auto15.9
Teleop17.0
End15.1
Level
47.91.2
44.846.0
Auto16.2
Teleop8.7
End23.0
Third
7250
#34
20.20.3
19.920.2
Auto10.7
Teleop1.7
End7.8
blue by 5.6
6569
#32
25.81.2
22.723.8
Auto10.3
Teleop4.0
End11.5