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Red158
364156.8
118848.2
776228.6
Blue137
30228.5
482734.4
468031.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1559350200158137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.3
55.856.1
Auto18.8
Teleop13.9
End24.1
red by 22.5
4827
#12
34.41.0
33.334.4
Auto10.4
Teleop8.9
End15.1
Second
48.20.3
47.748.0
Auto17.2
Teleop9.9
End21.0
red by 16.8
4680
#14
31.41.0
30.431.4
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Third
7762
#20
28.60.3
27.627.9
Auto8.7
Teleop5.7
End14.2
red by 0.1
302
#19
28.51.0
27.528.5
Auto11.5
Teleop6.8
End10.2