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Red179
364156.8
118848.2
776228.6
Blue95
542447.3
550235.7
722620.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1531115010020025017995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.81.0
56.157.2
Auto18.8
Teleop13.9
End24.1
red by 9.5
5424
#10
47.30.3
47.847.5
Auto14.1
Teleop10.1
End23.1
Second
48.21.0
48.049.0
Auto17.2
Teleop9.9
End21.0
red by 12.4
35.70.3
36.336.0
Auto7.0
Teleop5.3
End23.5
Third
7762
#20
28.61.0
27.929.0
Auto8.7
Teleop5.7
End14.2
red by 8.5
7226
#34
20.10.3
20.720.4
Auto8.0
Teleop5.5
End6.6