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Red110
542447.3
550235.7
722620.1
Blue97
607738.0
387542.0
719726.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117121608010014016018011097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#10
47.30.2
48.147.8
Auto14.1
Teleop10.1
End23.1
red by 5.3
42.00.6
42.642.0
Auto11.2
Teleop9.9
End20.9
Second
35.70.2
36.536.3
Auto7.0
Teleop5.3
End23.5
blue by 2.3
38.00.6
38.638.0
Auto14.0
Teleop2.1
End22.0
Third
7226
#34
20.10.2
20.920.7
Auto8.0
Teleop5.5
End6.6
blue by 6.0
7197
#27
26.10.6
26.726.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.0
End14.1