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Red191
511454.0
353948.6
317520.2
Blue96
21726.8
496139.4
584328.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371005015020025019196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#13
54.00.5
52.653.2
Auto21.7
Teleop16.9
End15.4
red by 14.6
4961
#11
39.40.0
39.139.2
Auto9.0
Teleop6.6
End23.8
Second
48.60.5
47.247.7
Auto14.2
Teleop8.9
End25.5
red by 19.9
5843
#24
28.70.0
28.428.4
Auto15.2
Teleop7.3
End6.2
Third
3175
#30
20.20.6
18.619.2
Auto12.1
Teleop1.0
End7.1
blue by 6.6
217
#15
26.80.0
26.526.5
Auto11.7
Teleop9.2
End5.9