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Red142
511454.0
353948.6
317520.2
Blue107
21726.8
496139.4
584328.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910050150200250142107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#13
54.00.5
53.253.7
Auto21.7
Teleop16.9
End15.4
red by 14.6
4961
#11
39.40.3
39.239.4
Auto9.0
Teleop6.6
End23.8
Second
48.60.5
47.748.2
Auto14.2
Teleop8.9
End25.5
red by 19.9
5843
#24
28.70.3
28.428.7
Auto15.2
Teleop7.3
End6.2
Third
3175
#30
20.20.5
19.219.7
Auto12.1
Teleop1.0
End7.1
blue by 6.6
217
#15
26.80.3
26.526.8
Auto11.7
Teleop9.2
End5.9