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Red203
556158.1
6775.6
118925.2
Blue151
30838.9
477647.5
714731.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17612050100150200250300203151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
75.60.2
72.973.1
Auto25.4
Teleop21.6
End28.7
red by 28.1
4776
#14
47.50.8
46.347.1
Auto12.1
Teleop7.1
End28.3
Second
58.10.2
55.455.5
Auto13.9
Teleop13.5
End30.8
red by 19.2
308
#25
38.90.8
37.738.5
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End22.4
Third
1189
#34
25.20.2
22.422.6
Auto8.3
Teleop5.4
End11.4
blue by 6.5
7147
#17
31.60.8
30.431.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End19.5