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Red194
556158.1
6775.6
118925.2
Blue109
353647.1
571243.6
721137.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17914050100200250300194109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
75.60.5
74.575.0
Auto25.4
Teleop21.6
End28.7
red by 28.5
3536
#12
47.10.5
47.647.1
Auto14.5
Teleop7.7
End24.9
Second
58.10.5
56.957.4
Auto13.9
Teleop13.5
End30.8
red by 14.5
43.60.5
44.143.6
Auto15.4
Teleop7.8
End20.4
Third
1189
#34
25.20.5
24.024.5
Auto8.3
Teleop5.4
End11.4
blue by 12.7
7211
#26
37.90.5
38.437.9
Auto9.1
Teleop8.7
End20.1