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Red111
440544.2
515545.4
657032.8
Blue200
353647.1
571243.6
721137.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13614650100200250111200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.3
45.745.4
Auto11.3
Teleop4.4
End29.7
blue by 1.7
3536
#12
47.11.6
47.649.1
Auto14.5
Teleop7.7
End24.9
Second
4405
#10
44.20.3
44.544.2
Auto11.6
Teleop3.6
End29.0
red by 0.6
43.61.6
44.045.6
Auto15.4
Teleop7.8
End20.4
Third
6570
#20
32.80.3
33.132.8
Auto9.0
Teleop10.2
End13.7
blue by 5.0
7211
#26
37.91.6
38.339.9
Auto9.1
Teleop8.7
End20.1