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Red184
505343.4
776937.8
755338.9
Blue152
370748.8
5159.0
717842.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12017450100150200250184152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#16
43.40.9
41.542.4
Auto17.6
Teleop8.9
End16.9
blue by 15.5
51
#4
59.00.3
58.958.6
Auto13.6
Teleop21.2
End24.1
Second
7553
#29
38.90.9
37.037.9
Auto16.4
Teleop7.1
End15.4
blue by 9.9
48.80.3
48.748.5
Auto16.3
Teleop15.8
End16.8
Third
7769
#13
37.80.9
35.936.7
Auto12.9
Teleop5.5
End19.3
blue by 4.3
7178
#15
42.10.3
42.041.7
Auto9.5
Teleop4.9
End27.7