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Red131
362045.2
205439.7
423739.9
Blue189
592751.4
22661.4
658817.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381410100200300400131189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.1
45.145.2
Auto11.7
Teleop11.7
End21.9
blue by 16.2
226
#2
61.41.6
59.961.4
Auto12.7
Teleop17.8
End30.9
Second
4237
#21
39.90.2
39.739.9
Auto17.1
Teleop7.4
End15.4
blue by 11.5
5927
#12
51.41.4
50.051.4
Auto11.1
Teleop19.8
End20.5
Third
39.70.2
39.539.7
Auto13.5
Teleop11.0
End15.2
red by 21.8
6588
#20
17.81.6
16.317.8
Auto3.9
Teleop0.7
End13.3