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Red161
362045.2
205439.7
423739.9
Blue179
592751.4
22661.4
658817.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361380100200300400500600161179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.7
44.345.1
Auto11.7
Teleop11.7
End21.9
blue by 16.2
226
#2
61.41.0
58.959.9
Auto12.7
Teleop17.8
End30.9
Second
4237
#21
39.90.8
38.939.7
Auto17.1
Teleop7.4
End15.4
blue by 11.5
5927
#12
51.40.9
49.150.0
Auto11.1
Teleop19.8
End20.5
Third
39.70.8
38.739.5
Auto13.5
Teleop11.0
End15.2
red by 21.8
6588
#20
17.81.0
15.316.3
Auto3.9
Teleop0.7
End13.3