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Red131
505644.2
438449.3
554724.0
Blue155
400337.5
295936.9
515227.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13311150100150200250131155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.3
49.149.3
Auto16.5
Teleop10.6
End22.2
red by 11.8
4003
#26
37.50.8
37.638.4
Auto13.7
Teleop14.8
End9.0
Second
44.20.3
44.044.2
Auto14.3
Teleop11.6
End18.2
red by 7.3
2959
#10
36.90.9
37.037.9
Auto13.2
Teleop15.0
End8.7
Third
5547
#16
24.00.3
23.724.0
Auto7.1
Teleop6.2
End10.7
blue by 3.2
5152
#24
27.10.8
27.228.0
Auto6.9
Teleop3.6
End16.6