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Red167
357251.9
191868.1
524727.1
Blue114
716045.2
608745.3
550416.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18610550150200250300167114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.10.1
71.371.2
Auto16.5
Teleop27.8
End23.8
red by 22.9
45.30.1
44.144.0
Auto9.6
Teleop9.3
End26.3
Second
51.90.1
55.155.0
Auto18.5
Teleop14.9
End18.4
red by 6.7
45.20.1
44.144.0
Auto15.3
Teleop9.2
End20.7
Third
5247
#21
27.10.1
30.330.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.4
End14.5
red by 10.6
5504
#28
16.60.1
15.415.3
Auto5.9
Teleop2.1
End8.6