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Red143
335747.6
437744.7
55628.2
Blue124
609739.4
171138.9
361831.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107125406080140160180200143124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.61.0
46.747.7
Auto12.8
Teleop9.6
End25.2
red by 8.2
6097
#19
39.40.0
39.439.4
Auto14.5
Teleop12.9
End12.0
Second
44.71.0
43.844.9
Auto14.4
Teleop7.3
End23.0
red by 5.8
1711
#10
38.90.0
38.938.9
Auto12.1
Teleop10.1
End16.8
Third
5562
#39
8.21.0
7.38.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End-0.7
blue by 23.1
3618
#20
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto13.3
Teleop7.4
End10.5