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Red170
368847.0
508647.4
612223.0
Blue140
724442.8
612136.1
556031.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12812050100150200170140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.3
46.147.3
Auto18.6
Teleop12.9
End15.9
red by 4.6
42.80.7
42.142.8
Auto13.4
Teleop7.5
End21.8
Second
3688
#25
47.01.3
45.747.0
Auto12.7
Teleop11.6
End22.8
red by 10.9
36.10.7
35.436.1
Auto10.7
Teleop3.7
End21.7
Third
6122
#24
23.01.3
21.823.0
Auto11.4
Teleop11.8
End-0.2
blue by 8.5
5560
#15
31.50.7
30.831.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End17.8