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Red135
716045.2
608745.3
550416.6
Blue118
335747.6
437744.7
55628.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411050100150200135118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.7
43.444.1
Auto9.6
Teleop9.3
End26.3
blue by 2.3
47.60.4
47.247.6
Auto12.8
Teleop9.6
End25.2
Second
45.20.7
43.444.1
Auto15.3
Teleop9.2
End20.7
red by 0.5
44.70.4
44.344.7
Auto14.4
Teleop7.3
End23.0
Third
5504
#28
16.60.7
14.815.4
Auto5.9
Teleop2.1
End8.6
red by 8.4
5562
#39
8.20.4
7.78.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End-0.7