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Red150
716045.2
608745.3
550416.6
Blue77
335747.6
437744.7
55628.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109113608010012014016018015077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.31.1
42.443.4
Auto9.6
Teleop9.3
End26.3
blue by 2.3
47.60.5
47.747.2
Auto12.8
Teleop9.6
End25.2
Second
45.21.1
42.343.4
Auto15.3
Teleop9.2
End20.7
red by 0.5
44.70.5
44.944.3
Auto14.4
Teleop7.3
End23.0
Third
5504
#28
16.61.1
13.714.8
Auto5.9
Teleop2.1
End8.6
red by 8.4
5562
#39
8.20.5
8.37.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End-0.7