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Red140
368847.0
508647.4
612223.0
Blue124
724442.8
612136.1
556031.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124117050100150200250140124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.7
45.045.6
Auto18.6
Teleop12.9
End15.9
red by 4.6
42.80.4
41.141.6
Auto13.4
Teleop7.5
End21.8
Second
3688
#25
47.00.7
44.645.3
Auto12.7
Teleop11.6
End22.8
red by 10.9
36.10.4
34.434.8
Auto10.7
Teleop3.7
End21.7
Third
6122
#24
23.00.7
20.621.3
Auto11.4
Teleop11.8
End-0.2
blue by 8.5
5560
#15
31.50.4
29.930.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End17.8