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Quarterfinal 3-12020 Northern Lights Regional
Red183
298758.5
702155.6
284645.0
Blue138
462454.5
282647.4
465529.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17313950100200250300183138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#5
58.50.9
55.7→56.6
Auto19.1
Teleop12.6
End26.8
red by 4.0
4624
#17
54.50.3
53.6→53.8
Auto17.4
Teleop11.2
End25.8
Second
7021
#2
55.60.9
52.8→53.7
Auto19.0
Teleop8.7
End27.9
red by 8.2
2826
#9
47.40.3
46.4→46.7
Auto16.1
Teleop8.3
End22.9
Third
2846
#18
45.00.9
42.2→43.0
Auto15.4
Teleop4.9
End24.7
red by 15.1
4655
#50
29.90.3
28.9→29.2
Auto8.2
Teleop2.2
End19.4