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Red168
298758.5
702155.6
284645.0
Blue147
250944.0
363049.7
703833.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17913450100150200250300168147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.4
57.157.5
Auto19.1
Teleop12.6
End26.8
red by 8.7
49.70.5
49.349.7
Auto15.2
Teleop8.4
End26.2
Second
55.60.4
54.254.6
Auto19.0
Teleop8.7
End27.9
red by 11.6
2509
#10
44.00.5
43.544.0
Auto12.8
Teleop4.4
End26.9
Third
2846
#18
45.00.4
43.543.9
Auto15.4
Teleop4.9
End24.7
red by 11.7
7038
#26
33.20.5
32.833.2
Auto10.9
Teleop6.2
End16.2