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Red182
16746.0
181660.7
546436.9
Blue95
472844.7
534846.2
252625.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621285010015020025018295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.70.8
59.960.7
Auto20.4
Teleop13.2
End27.1
red by 14.5
46.20.7
46.946.2
Auto16.5
Teleop7.5
End22.2
Second
167
#7
46.00.8
45.346.0
Auto14.5
Teleop7.6
End23.9
red by 1.3
4728
#14
44.70.7
45.444.7
Auto16.0
Teleop11.5
End17.2
Third
5464
#40
36.90.8
36.136.9
Auto12.3
Teleop2.7
End21.9
red by 11.3
2526
#43
25.60.7
26.325.6
Auto7.8
Teleop6.7
End11.1