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Red150
16746.0
181660.7
546436.9
Blue96
472844.7
534846.2
252625.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1611315010015020025015096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.70.3
59.759.9
Auto20.4
Teleop13.2
End27.1
red by 14.5
46.20.7
47.646.9
Auto16.5
Teleop7.5
End22.2
Second
167
#7
46.00.3
45.045.3
Auto14.5
Teleop7.6
End23.9
red by 1.3
4728
#14
44.70.7
46.145.4
Auto16.0
Teleop11.5
End17.2
Third
5464
#40
36.90.3
35.836.1
Auto12.3
Teleop2.7
End21.9
red by 11.3
2526
#43
25.60.7
27.026.3
Auto7.8
Teleop6.7
End11.1