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Red192
472844.7
534846.2
252625.6
Blue134
557638.4
326735.2
467425.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410250150200192134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.21.8
46.147.9
Auto16.5
Teleop7.5
End22.2
red by 7.8
5576
#25
38.41.0
37.338.4
Auto11.6
Teleop5.0
End21.7
Second
4728
#14
44.71.8
44.646.4
Auto16.0
Teleop11.5
End17.2
red by 9.5
35.21.0
34.235.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End23.3
Third
2526
#43
25.61.8
25.527.3
Auto7.8
Teleop6.7
End11.1
red by 0.4
4674
#11
25.21.0
24.225.2
Auto10.4
Teleop6.7
End8.2