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Red126
16746.0
181660.7
546436.9
Blue103
374032.2
604534.1
400943.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16211750100150200250126103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.70.5
59.458.9
Auto20.4
Teleop13.2
End27.1
red by 17.0
4009
#19
43.70.2
43.943.7
Auto17.2
Teleop11.4
End15.0
Second
167
#7
46.00.5
44.744.2
Auto14.5
Teleop7.6
End23.9
red by 11.9
34.10.2
34.434.1
Auto15.0
Teleop8.8
End10.3
Third
5464
#40
36.90.5
35.635.1
Auto12.3
Teleop2.7
End21.9
red by 4.7
3740
#12
32.20.2
32.432.2
Auto8.4
Teleop2.8
End20.9