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Red148
16746.0
181660.7
546436.9
Blue116
779734.0
599145.4
451131.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16411750100150200250148116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.70.3
60.059.7
Auto20.4
Teleop13.2
End27.1
red by 15.2
45.40.2
45.345.4
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End30.7
Second
167
#7
46.00.3
45.345.0
Auto14.5
Teleop7.6
End23.9
red by 12.0
7797
#10
34.00.2
33.934.0
Auto11.1
Teleop5.3
End17.6
Third
5464
#40
36.90.3
36.235.8
Auto12.3
Teleop2.7
End21.9
red by 5.4
4511
#15
31.50.2
31.331.5
Auto11.0
Teleop4.1
End16.4