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Red88
779734.0
599145.4
451131.5
Blue59
216930.0
474143.3
226434.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133125501001502002508859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.9
47.846.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End30.7
red by 2.2
43.31.6
44.843.2
Auto10.1
Teleop8.5
End24.6
Second
7797
#10
34.00.9
36.435.5
Auto11.1
Teleop5.3
End17.6
blue by 0.9
2264
#31
34.91.6
36.534.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End12.0
Third
4511
#15
31.50.9
33.933.0
Auto11.0
Teleop4.1
End16.4
red by 1.5
2169
#54
30.01.6
31.529.9
Auto10.8
Teleop8.9
End10.3