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Red142
569046.4
602241.7
621736.6
Blue117
472844.7
534846.2
252625.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14113550100200250142117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#22
46.40.4
47.047.4
Auto14.5
Teleop9.6
End22.3
red by 0.2
46.20.1
47.947.7
Auto16.5
Teleop7.5
End22.2
Second
41.70.4
42.342.7
Auto10.7
Teleop7.1
End23.8
blue by 3.0
4728
#14
44.70.1
46.446.2
Auto16.0
Teleop11.5
End17.2
Third
6217
#27
36.60.4
36.637.0
Auto14.1
Teleop5.8
End16.7
red by 11.0
2526
#43
25.60.1
27.327.1
Auto7.8
Teleop6.7
End11.1