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Red114
779734.0
599145.4
451131.5
Blue111
216930.0
474143.3
226434.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011950100150200250114111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.0
46.946.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End30.7
red by 2.2
43.30.1
43.243.3
Auto10.1
Teleop8.5
End24.6
Second
7797
#10
34.00.0
35.535.5
Auto11.1
Teleop5.3
End17.6
blue by 0.9
2264
#31
34.90.1
34.934.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End12.0
Third
4511
#15
31.50.0
33.032.9
Auto11.0
Teleop4.1
End16.4
red by 1.5
2169
#54
30.00.1
29.930.0
Auto10.8
Teleop8.9
End10.3