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Red113
569046.4
602241.7
621736.6
Blue100
310235.5
286137.9
423035.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14412050100200250113100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#22
46.40.9
47.146.2
Auto14.5
Teleop9.6
End22.3
red by 8.5
37.90.4
38.538.1
Auto8.6
Teleop2.8
End26.5
Second
41.70.9
42.441.5
Auto10.7
Teleop7.1
End23.8
red by 6.2
3102
#21
35.50.4
36.135.7
Auto15.5
Teleop7.2
End12.8
Third
6217
#27
36.60.9
36.735.8
Auto14.1
Teleop5.8
End16.7
red by 1.2
4230
#34
35.40.4
36.035.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End22.1