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Red98
569046.4
602241.7
704127.6
Blue118
472844.7
534846.2
252625.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301365010015020025098118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#22
46.40.6
47.046.4
Auto14.5
Teleop9.6
End22.3
red by 0.2
46.20.1
47.747.6
Auto16.5
Teleop7.5
End22.2
Second
41.70.6
42.341.7
Auto10.7
Teleop7.1
End23.8
blue by 3.0
4728
#14
44.70.1
46.246.1
Auto16.0
Teleop11.5
End17.2
Third
7041
#13
27.60.6
28.227.6
Auto5.7
Teleop2.3
End19.7
red by 2.0
2526
#43
25.60.1
27.127.0
Auto7.8
Teleop6.7
End11.1