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Red184
452264.5
198673.9
235725.3
Blue145
449950.3
392861.7
198232.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19015550100250300184145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.90.3
74.674.4
Auto21.1
Teleop23.0
End29.8
red by 12.2
61.70.0
61.261.2
Auto20.3
Teleop22.9
End18.5
Second
64.50.3
65.265.0
Auto21.6
Teleop22.2
End20.7
red by 14.1
4499
#13
50.30.0
49.949.9
Auto20.1
Teleop15.8
End14.4
Third
2357
#34
25.30.3
26.025.8
Auto9.8
Teleop5.4
End10.1
blue by 7.0
1982
#21
32.20.0
31.831.7
Auto11.7
Teleop5.7
End14.8